Market Opening Bell: Cues That May Drive Nifty Today


The BSE Sensex continued to rally for the fourth consecutive session on Monday. It rose
1.4% on broad based buying, hike in fuel prices and easing of Syria woes. The up move is despite weak April-June quarter GDP data and manufacturing PMI.

The Sensex was up 266.41 points to close at 18886.13, and the Nifty gained 78.95 points at 5550.75 while BSE Midcap and Small cap indices rose 1-1.4% on Monday.

The Indian rupee which weakened in early trade picked itself up as some public sector banks sold the green-back towards the end of the trading session. The rupee, which was stuck in a 65.80-66.10 per dollar range for most of the day, closed 30 paise weaker at 66-to-the dollar.

Macros take centre stage

The Upper House of parliament has passed the Food Security Bill, rejecting amendments sought by the BJP and other opposition parties. The bill is now just one step short of becoming a law.

Petroleum Minister, Veerappa Moily has said that all options are on the table to cut the fuel subsidy bill. He has refused to categorically admit or rule out a one-time diesel price hike and hints at increasing imports from Iran as the under-recovery burden for this fiscal is likely to sky-rocket beyond Rs.  1.6 lakh crore.

Asian Markets

Asian markets gained for the second day on back of upbeat factory data around the globe, while a delay in a potential US strike on Syria diminished the safe-haven appeal of gold and the yen. MSCI's index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan added 0.3 %, building on Monday's 1.2 % rise and Japan's Nikkei stock average added 1.9%.

European Markets

European markets stage nearly a 2% rally across the board buoyed by positive manufacturing data and the Vodafone-Verizon deal. The USD 130 billion deal was completed shortly after the close of markets. What also aided sentiment was the strong chinese and European factory data which boosted hopes that the global economy is growing out of stagnation.

US Markets

The US markets were shut on Monday for the Labor Day holiday.

Other asset classes

In the currency space, the dollar index gains to 82.3 levels, while the euro has slipped a bit and the yen is trading at a one-month low nearing 100 against the dollar.

In commodities, Brent Crude is steady around USD 114/barrel as a military strike against Syria looks less imminent and worries over possible middle-east supply disruptions receded. Nymex is trading near USD 107 per barrel.

From precious metals space gold prices edge lower to USD 1390 per ounce as a delay in military action against Syria and improved economic data from China and Europe boosted the appetite for riskier assets. Silver gained as much as 3.8% intra-day.

Stocks in News

ITC is looking to build on yesterday's gains. Agency reports indicate that ITC has hiked cigarette prices by Rs 14 per 20 pack across brands.

Bharti Airtel could see some green as well as they have announced a revision in some post paid mobile rates effective from September 8. Local and STD rates of 50 paise per minute to Airtel mobiles will be increased to 60 paise, while calls to landlines will go up to 90 paise per minute from 60 paise.

Mahindra and Mahindra (M&M) is likely to be under pressure reacting to lower tractor sales. However, the company's arm Ssangyong has seen a 27% (YoY) increase in sales at over 11,600 units.

Escorts too will be reacting negatively to lower August sales with total tractor sales at just under 4000 units vs 6,790 units (MoM) and domestic tractor sales at 3,800 plus vs 6,743 units (MoM)